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Simulation modeling was used to reconstruct Black-browed Albatross (Diomedea melanophris) population trends. Close approximations to observed data were accomplished by annually varying survival rates, reproductive success, and probabilities of returning to breed given success in previous years. The temporal shift in annual values coincided with the start of longline fishing at South Georgia and potential changes in krill abundance. We used 23 years of demographic data from long-term studies of a breeding colony of this species at Bird Island, South Georgia, to validate our model. When we used annual parameter estimates for survival, reproductive success, and probabilities of returning to breed given success in previous years, our model trajectory closely followed the observed changes in breeding population size over time. Population growth rate was below replacement (lambda < 1) in most years and was most sensitive to changes in adult survival. This supports the recent IUCN uplisting of this species from “Vulnerable” to “Endangered.” Comparison of pre-1988 and post-1988 demography (before and after the inception of a longline fishery in the breeding area) reveals a decrease in lambda from 0.963 to 0.910. A life table response experiment (LTRE) showed that this decline in lambda was caused mostly by declines in survival of adults. If 1988–1998 demographic rates are maintained, the model predicts a 98% chance of a population of fewer than 25 pairs within 78 years. For this population to recover to a status under which it could be “delisted,” a 10% increase in survival of all age classes would be needed.
Anna Mason | The Observer President elect junior Elizabeth Boyle embraces a supporter following news of her victory. She ran alongside sophomore Patrick McGuire.Junior Elizabeth Boyle and sophomore Patrick McGuire were elected student body president and vice president after winning 53.27 percent of the student body’s vote Thursday.Boyle and McGuire defeated juniors Mario Markho and Charlie Ortega Guifarro, juniors Eduardo Luna and Haley Coleman and freshmen Carlston Chang and Kevin O’Leary.The Markho-Ortega ticket drew in 30.09 percent of the vote, followed by Chang-O’Leary with 10.04 percent and Luna-Coleman with 6.60 percent.Total voter turnout was 40 percent.Shady Girgis, president of the judicial council, said he expected the election to result in a run-off.“We had four tickets, so I think one ticket getting more than 50 percent was kind of a shock to all of us,” he said. “So that was kind of cool, I think the Boyle and McGuire ticket were really good candidates for it and I think they’ll do a good job.”Boyle said she felt “really, really lucky and grateful” for those on her campaign and others who supported the ticket.The pair’s first concern is putting together a team to work in their administration, McGuire said.“One thing we’ll do, first and foremost, is looking into assembling a team and really reaching out to a lot of people, seeing the best things we can do on that end,” he said. “ … Just really hitting the ground running with the things we want to do.”“We’re pumped to reach out to all areas of campus and get new people involved in student government and hear new voices and really make this year amazing,” Boyle echoed.The pair said they hope to integrate the other candidates’ ideas into their own.“One of the first things we said in there was that we really wanted to work with the other tickets and their great ideas and, you know, the ways they want to impact the student body,” McGuire said.McGuire said he thanks each of the candidates for a smooth election process.“[We’re] so grateful for all the tickets and the team and also that it was just such a clean and respectful campaign on all fronts,” he said.“There is so much happiness and joy and passion here tonight and that’s what the entire next year is going to be [like] … so, I’m excited for that,” Boyle said.Ortega said he’s thankful for his running mates, Markho and Rojas, for their work throughout the election season.“I would like to say that I am very proud of my team,” he said. “Mario [Markho] and Tiffany [Rojas] did a hell of a job, and so did the rest of our team. I personally am not crying because I know there’s absolutely no shame in giving it your all. We gave 110 percent. I am very proud of that.”O’Leary said the Chang-O’Leary ticket surpassed its goal of 10 percent.“I’m ecstatic,” Chang said.Both Luna and Coleman declined to a request to comment.Tags: 2019 Student Government Election, Boyle-McGuire, Judicial Council
With the holidays behind us, it’s time to get cracking on improving in the new year and so far, 2013 is shaping up to be a good one with snow in the mountains, excitement in the air, and a lot of winter left to get your kicks. Though you may have already broken your New Year’s Resolution, that does not mean you have permission to let cabin fever set in. Old routines are comforting, but getting out and experiencing new things is what makes us human. Many people set goals for the New Year that are unrealistic and unattainable, but making a commitment to yourself to get out of your comfort zone on a regular basis is easy and anyone can do it. Challenging yourself to learn and grow is much easier than committing to going to the gym four times a week, and is also much more fun. Do something different in 2013: instead of empty promises involving waistlines and vices go existential and pledge to put yourself out there. The only chance of failure is if you don’t attempt it, and you’ll be much happier with the results.Jump in this weekend at Sugar Mountain outside Banner Elk, North Carolina, where you can try snowshoeing for free on Saturday. Snowshoeing is a fun, vigorous winter activity that is fun for the whole family. As part of the nationwide, 18th Annual Winter Trail Days, Sugar will host guided snowshoe tours and rentals for children and adults. The tours are available on the hour from 9am to 4pm and you can signup at the Ski/Snowboard School.View Larger Map
New partnerships generate massive membership growth for Elements Financial FCU.by: Ted GoldwynWhat’s the key to double-digit membership growth? For Elements Financial Federal Credit Union in Indianapolis, it was to aggressively pursue new SEG (select employee group) relationships and offer value-added, relationship-building services that all employees could use.That’s the case study Rich Jones, president/CEO of Leaders2Leadership LLC and former senior vice president of sales, marketing, and business development at $1 billion asset Elements Financial Federal, shared during a CUNA Marketing & Business Development Council Conference session last week in Las Vegas.According to Jones, critical to a successful business development program is creating an implementation strategy step-by-step and then seeing it through. Key steps include:Creating an overarching strategy;Building an implementation plan;Designing a staff model; andEstablishing a compensation plan.Elements Financial Federal centered its growth strategy around a specific product, health savings accounts (HSAs). They chose this product for three reasons: 14SHARESShareShareSharePrintMailGooglePinterestDiggRedditStumbleuponDeliciousBufferTumblr
If you are considering putting your home on the market, summer may be the perfect time. The frenzy of the spring buying season has ended, meaning there are fewer houses listed and competing for buyers’ attention. Tax refunds have been sent out, so potential buyers who have been saving for a down payment may now have the funds they need. And families hoping to get settled into a new home before the school year starts are abundant.According to the National Association of Realtors, more than 40% of all homes were sold during the months of May through August last year, meaning summer buyers are serious buyers. People visiting an open house in the summer aren’t window-shopping — they are looking for their next home.So how can you make your house stand out in this market? Here are a few simple tips to help increase your chances of quickly finding the right buyer for your home this summer.Maintain or revamp your home’s curb appealYour front yard is your home’s first impression, so make sure that it’s welcoming. Don’t let your lawn and flowerbeds suffer in the summer heat; keep all your plants well hydrated and mulched. Keep the grass trimmed by mowing as much as needed. Replant any unsightly brown spots and plant colorful seasonal flowers. And if your home’s façade is looking a little faded, give it a fresh coat of paint and perhaps spruce up your front porch or walkways. continue reading » 16SHARESShareShareSharePrintMailGooglePinterestDiggRedditStumbleuponDeliciousBufferTumblr
BINGHAMTON (WBNG) — Binghamton Police say two people have been taken to area hospitals after a stabbing incident on Chenango Street Saturday. Stay with 12 News as we continue to update this developing story. Police say the the two people suffered stab wounds. They added the investigation is currently ongoing.
But common sense — and years of crime-watch meetings — tells me that adequate lighting doesn’t hurt women’s chances for safety. It’s sad for our profession when so many mainstream sites rush online with a “Perry links fossil fuel development to preventing sexual assault“ without any of this context.Now, if you want to have a real discussion, let’s debate whether fossil fuels really are the answer.My real-time reaction: This is exactly the kind of thing that cements in so many Americans’ minds that the media are biased.At the very least, it illustrates that we can’t wait to gang up on easy targets like Perry. Sharon Grigsby is a member of the editorial board of the Dallas Morning News. Categories: Editorial, OpinionIn a white-hot-charged world of politics, where each side can’t wait to catch the other acting the fool, the headlines are flying about bumbling Rick Perry stepping in it again. The former Texas governor and current U.S. energy secretary will never win any awards for being precise or even articulate in his public remarks. On Thursday, he gave critics a double whammy: A rambling, almost indecipherable anecdote that gave anybody with a Twitter account a chance to make fun of him for acting pro-fossil-fuel to the extreme and for being a dummy on sexual assault at the same time. Here’s the core of the story, as reported by CBS News: During an event with Axios and NBC in Washington, Perry brought up sexual assault after launching into a story about a trip to Africa, where he said “people are dying“ because they don’t have access to energy. “And it’s going to take fossil fuels to push power out into those villages in Africa, where a young girl said to my face: One of the reasons that electricity is so important to me is not only because I’m not going to have to try and read by the light of a fire and have those fumes literally kill people. But also from the standpoint of sexual assault: When the lights are on, when you have light that shines, the righteousness, if you will, on those types of acts.“ Perry’s remarks can be interpreted and misinterpreted a million different ways.But determined to get a quick laugh, news outlets and commentators were quick to report a sound bite that painted it in the worst light — without providing some important context: First, Perry was sharing an anecdote he heard from a girl in Africa.According to Perry, she said she wanted electricity NOT ONLY because she wouldn’t have to read by a fire’s light, BUT ALSO because of sexual assault. Second, the fact is that bringing power to remote villages in Africa would do these people a lot of good. And, according to some researchers, yes, it would help prevent sexual assault. For the skimming reader, that may sound ridiculous: Tying sexual assault to fossil fuel? Especially when you consider that everyone in the Trump administration looks for every opportunity to push that form of energy. None of that makes Perry wrong. And given all the headlines of late about sexual assault, it’s not stupid that he would link lack of electricity and lights with the possibility of violence.Consider this National Public Radio piece on the links between access to home toilets in India’s largest state and sexual assaults:Lacking indoor plumbing, hundreds of millions of women in India, under the cloak of darkness, set out for an open field to relieve themselves. In those circumstances, NPR reported, women are vulnerable to being preyed upon.It cited the case of two young girls who were raped and left hanging from a tree.But NPR was not saying that lack of home toilets are the underlying cause of male predation. Separately, The Guardian has reported on how poor quality and underfunded public services — from lack of lighting to sanitation and decent housing — leave poor women and girls vulnerable and exposed to violence and harassment. Of course “darkness“ alone doesn’t cause people to commit sexual assault. But what from Perry’s remarks gives people the impression that he said that? Willful misinterpretation. Of course, the most important deterrents focus on changing the behavior of the perpetrators. We need to be teaching young men not to rape. And to enforce strict punishments. And a whole lot more than that. More from The Daily Gazette:EDITORIAL: Thruway tax unfair to working motoristsEDITORIAL: Urgent: Today is the last day to complete the censusFoss: Should main downtown branch of the Schenectady County Public Library reopen?EDITORIAL: Find a way to get family members into nursing homesEDITORIAL: Beware of voter intimidation
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“On Monday, we will deploy a team to enforce health protocols. We have announced sanctions for those who do not wear face masks at all,” Suarta said on Sunday as quoted by tribunnews.com.Prior to the new policy, the administration had issued warnings to those who violated COVID-19 protocols. However, a more stringent measure was necessary given the high number of coronavirus cases in the region, Suarta said.Read also: Bali postpones plans to welcome international travelers in SeptemberAs of Sunday, Bali recorded 6,212 infections, with 105 cases that had turned fatal, according to the central government’s official COVID-19 tally.In the latest regulation, residents of Bali will be fined if they do not wear or carry face masks in public. Those who are unable to pay the fine will have to hand over their ID cards to the authorities.Furthermore, businesses that lack facilities instrumental to ensuring public health – such as hand sanitizer and handwashing stations – will be subject to a Rp 1 million fine.Bali Governor Wayan Koster previously postponed plans to reopen the region to international tourists on Sept. 11 following the central government’s decision to wait until the end of this year before welcoming foreign visitors. (rfa)Topics : Bali will start imposing fines of Rp 100,000 (US$6.77) on residents seen out without a face mask during the pandemic, which has taken a toll on the resort island’s tourism.The policy, stipulated in Gubernatorial Decree No. 46/2020, takes effect Monday.Klungkung Public Order Agency (Satpol PP) head I Putu Suarta said the Bali provincial administration had informed the public regarding the latest regulation over the past week.